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Name:
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want2beonlake
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Subject:
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Presidential Tracking Polls
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Date:
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9/21/2008 1:44:15 PM
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The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Sunday shows no change from yesterday as Barack Obama attracts 48% of the vote while John McCain earns 47%. Obama has gained ground over the past week after trailing by three percentage points last Sunday. The race is now back where it was for most of August before the two conventions and the Vice Presidential picks (see trends).
Results are released every day at 9:30 a.m. Eastern and a FREE daily e-mail update is available.
The underlying closeness of the race is highlighted by the fact that the candidates have been within three points of each other for 50 of the last 55 days. The only exceptions were five days around the Democratic National Convention where Obama opened a four-to-six point lead. During those 55 days, they’ve been within two points of each other 41 times and the gap has been one point or less 28 times.
Still, while the race has consistently been close, there have been identifiable trends. For most of August, Obama held a very slight one or two point lead in the tracking poll. He expanded that lead to six points with a solid convention bounce but then McCain returned the favor with a convention bounce of his own. McCain’s advantage peaked at three points last weekend before the Wall Street roller coaster ride of the past week began a drift back in Obama’s direction.
With the race so close, the debates scheduled to begin this Friday night could be more significant than usual. That’s especially true since 21% of voters say they are either uncommitted or could change their mind before voting.
so much for the lead for McCain... and the debates will not help him at all... especially the VP debate.
At the insistence of the McCain campaign, the Oct. 2 debate between the Republican nominee for vice president, Gov. Sarah Palin, and her Democratic rival, Senator Joseph R. Biden Jr., will have shorter question-and-answer segments than those for the presidential nominees, the advisers said. There will also be much less opportunity for free-wheeling, direct exchanges between the running mates. McCain advisers said they had been concerned that a loose format could leave Ms. Palin, a relatively inexperienced debater, at a disadvantage and largely on the defensive.
McCain advisers said they were only somewhat concerned about Ms. Palin’s debating skills compared with those of Mr. Biden, who has served six terms in the Senate, or about his chances of tripping her up. Instead, they say, they wanted Ms. Palin to have opportunities to present Mr. McCain’s positions, rather than spending time talking about her own experience or playing defense.
They had the time shortened from 2 minutes to 90 seconds. Such confidence they have in her... heartbeat away people, heartbeat away...
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