Bear Creek Reservoir Topics: I told you so...

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	Name:	Bob -
	Subject:	I told you so...
	Date:	5/23/2007 2:32:13 PM

Ok, so i know this makes me a shallow person but I can not resist...Below is the text by me of a post made on March 12th (you can search and verify):

"Folks, If the pattern does not change soon expect low water levels all summer long. We count on Spring rains to fill er up and give some "cushion" going into summer. If you remeber the last drought several year ago we had 486 tops around mid summer. We did get some tropical rains late that year but it did not help the summer.

The long range forecast has nothing promising...if you need a level of 487 or higher to get water I think you are in trouble. This will also hurt the already suffering condo market where a relatively worthless "fixed dock" is the norm. Just trying to prepare you "newbies" lurking here that it could and likely will happen if we don't get rain soon...and yes it really stinks I know..."

You may recall I was berated for this post by several folks (you know who you are). Well as I predicted we "topped out" at 486 . We will see the worst levels that I have EVER seen or heard of on the lake this summer. I do now think we could very well see winter pool in the summer. This saddens me greatly and not just because I like to ride in my boat. Many businesses on this lake will not make it with the population using the lake cut in 1/2 or worse. Furthermore, at lower than 483 , 80% of the docks on this lake are worthless even if they float. This will change the market at the lake for perhaps a decade to come as people become more aware of the risks of low water levels and their corresponding affect on the recreational activities on this lake. It will be a drag on "deep water" properties as well. The only thing that can save us now from a horrible year is a tropical system of almost biblical proportion and who wants to wish for that? If you look at weather patterns, these drought cycles tend to go longer than a season or two as well...sorry to be so depressing but the economic impact of what is to come is hardley being considered at all at this point.

We must lobby for higher winter pool levels to help our water level problems but that is several years away at best. Of course Dadeville" destruction of our lake will be even worse with reduced water flows...Everyone enjoy thier memorial day weekend...your boats will be in dry stack storage by the 4th....